Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 87.894386 99.644419 112.962430 129.297017 148.958745 172.077812 201.641442
2025-04-20 73.434230 89.005178 108.367647 134.700144 170.366278 218.217778 289.517904
2025-04-27 66.725217 84.702568 108.572079 143.611720 195.630465 273.424875 406.095081
2025-05-04 59.113476 77.479263 103.014011 142.635262 205.664622 308.350121 504.417191
2025-05-11 53.983663 72.702306 99.778105 143.894008 218.620958 350.613201 632.666131
2025-05-18 49.158474 67.642062 95.237906 142.033241 225.589315 383.921244 758.954751
2025-05-25 45.985538 64.594819 93.243793 143.779257 238.957405 433.066526 947.999552
2025-06-01 42.778731 61.115189 90.069352 142.866462 246.976315 473.629685 1142.107743
2025-06-08 39.794045 57.673009 86.523566 140.668271 251.862619 508.768781 1347.205433
2025-06-15 38.299586 56.456242 86.520667 144.940377 271.079485 585.408445 1760.772236
2025-06-22 35.248224 52.423234 81.252746 138.325716 264.968468 594.198110 1927.924389
2025-06-29 33.362478 50.184793 78.919508 137.190848 271.207751 639.963561 2311.364548
2025-07-06 31.406166 47.848397 76.493690 136.206541 279.389999 701.111535 2905.846752
2025-07-13 30.481623 47.232639 77.196259 142.038227 306.796800 842.101521 4342.857608
2025-07-20 30.054650 47.433114 79.428875 151.614261 347.621684 1064.261229 7414.314514
2025-07-27 28.487571 45.438807 77.176307 150.564305 358.011567 1175.297341 10165.762512
2025-08-03 27.319037 44.075021 76.022541 151.917835 376.311915 1340.316807 15373.892064
2025-08-10 25.936539 42.205109 73.652456 149.917057 383.427423 1459.128007 21654.573545
2025-08-17 25.026904 41.157180 72.871660 151.794430 404.445397 1680.720065 36933.743756
2025-08-24 23.946127 39.702659 71.094198 150.812892 415.264766 1857.527250 59999.424105
2025-08-31 22.840265 38.126173 68.916526 148.449795 420.412971 2007.080401 96566.325164
2025-09-07 22.356706 37.732516 69.266007 153.043220 454.543703 2434.732479 289069.731589
2025-09-14 21.042021 35.611237 65.625127 145.932510 438.748077 2423.100432 389513.315035